Some summary:
Gold Operations - now a steady-state operation.
Phu Kham - commissioning status:
- Current estimates are that the full circuit will be commissioned byend-April (no change) with 1st concentrate expected to bedispatched from the port late May/early June.
- PNA has experienced the normal commissioning issues with thecrusher circuit now expected to be operational by ~18th April (was1st week of April).
- To date commissioning delays have been technically relativelyminor, but have caused time delays.
- Punch lists developed as PNA takes control of the sections of theplant that are being systematically rectified.
Earnings and Valuation Impact: No changes.
Investment View:
- PNA has moved from explorer/developer to producer status at a time ofhigh copper prices… the risks now become operational and in our viewthe stock will continue to re-rate to reflect this change in risk.
- No change to our CONVICTION BUY recommendation.
We have no change to our positive view on PNA for the following reasons:
- Phu Kham is coming into production ahead of the original schedule, within the originalbudget and in the current buoyant copper price environment.
- Excellent earnings growth.
- Well exposed to 'the right metals' - copper and gold.
- Still remains inexpensive on near-term multiples.
Share Price $1.1812
Month Price Target $1.40
Expected 12M Total Return 18.6%
----Courtesy of simmo2001 of hotcopper
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